Active layer variability and change in the Mackenzie Valley, Northwest Territories between 1991-2014: An ecoregional assessment
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Active layer thicknesses (ALTs) from sites along a transect through the Mackenzie Valley, Northwest Territories, Canada, were analyzed to explore variation in thickness within and between ecoregions. At an ecoregional scale the relation between ALT, latitude, freezing and thawing degree-days, and snowfall were examined to determine the presence of trends. Site-specific variables including dominant vegetation and substrate were explored to explain spatial variability in ALT within ecoregions. Generally, average ALT increases moving southward through the comprising ecoregions (68 cm to 126 cm), following the increase in air temperature. Spatial variability in ALT within ecoregions was greater than that between ecoregions (up to 145 cm), which may be attributed to site-specific conditions (vegetation and snow cover). Most notable, sites with shrubs had thicker than average active layers likely because of increased snow retention leading to warmer overall ground conditions. Despite a warming trend in air temperatures, only one northern ecoregion showed a corresponding thickening trend in ALT. Sites located in southern ecoregions with mature forests showed limited response to changes in air temperature. For these locations, disturbance, specifically changes in thermally protective vegetation cover, rather than changing air temperature could potentially have a larger impact on ALT into the future.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".