Transferability of genetic loci and polygenic scores for cardiometabolic traits in British Pakistani and Bangladeshi individuals
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Individuals with South Asian ancestry have higher risk of heart disease than other groups in Western countries; however, most genetic research has focused on European-ancestry (EUR) individuals. It is unknown whether reported genetic loci and polygenic scores (PGSs) for cardiometabolic traits are transferable to South Asians, and whether PGSs have utility in clinical settings. Methods Using data from 22,000 British Pakistani and Bangladeshi individuals with linked electronic health records from the Genes & Health cohort (G&H), we conducted genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and characterised the genetic architecture of coronary artery disease (CAD), body mass index (BMI), lipid biomarkers and blood pressure. We applied a new technique to assess the extent to which loci from GWAS in EUR samples were transferable. We tested how well existing findings from EUR studies performed in genetic risk prediction and Mendelian randomisation in G&H. Results Trans-ancestry genetic correlations between G&H and EUR samples for the tested traits were not significantly lower than 1, except for BMI (r g =0.85, p=0.02). We found evidence for transferability for the vast majority of loci from EUR discovery studies that were sufficiently powered to replicate in G&H. PGSs showed variable transferability in G&H, with the relative accuracy compared to EUR (ratio of incremental r 2 /AUC) ≥0.95 for HDL-C, triglycerides, and blood pressure, but lower for BMI (0.78) and CAD (0.42). We observed significant improvement in categorical net reclassification in G&H (NRI=3.9%; 95% CI 0.9–7.0) when adding a previously developed CAD PGS to clinical risk factors (QRISK3). We used transferable loci as genetic instruments in trans-ancestry Mendelian randomisation and found evidence of an increased CAD risk for higher LDL-C and BMI, and for lower HDL-C in G&H, consistent with our findings for EUR samples. Conclusions The genetic loci for CAD and its risk factors are largely transferable from EUR studies to British Pakistanis and Bangladeshis, whereas the transferability of PGSs varies greatly between traits. Our analyses suggest clinical utility for addition of PGS to existing clinical risk prediction tools for this population. Clinical Perspective What is new? This is the first study to explore the transferability of GWAS findings and PGSs for CAD and related cardiometabolic traits in British Pakistani and Bangladeshi individuals from a cohort with real-world electronic clinical data. We propose a new approach to assessing transferability of GWAS loci between populations, which can serve as a new methodological standard in this developing field. We find evidence of overall high transferability of GWAS loci in British Pakistanis and Bangladeshis. BMI, lipids and blood pressure show the highest transferability of loci, and CAD the lowest. The transferability of PGSs varied between traits, being high for HDL-C, triglycerides and blood pressure but more modest for CAD, BMI and LDL-C. Our results suggest that, for some traits, the use of transferable GWAS loci improves the robustness of Mendelian randomisation estimates in non-Europeans. What are the clinical implications? The polygenic score for CAD derived from genetic studies of European individuals improves reclassification on top of clinical risk factors in British Pakistanis and Bangladeshis. The improvement was driven by identification of more cases in younger individuals (25–54 years old), and of controls in older individuals (55–84 years old). Incorporation of the polygenic score for CAD into risk prediction models is likely to prevent cardiovascular events and deaths in this population.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.030 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".