The Effect of Biomarker Use on the Speed and Duration of Clinical Trials for Cancer Drugs
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to explore the effects biomarkers have on the duration and speed of clinical trials in oncology. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Clinical trial data was pooled from www.clinicaltrials.gov within the 4 cancer indications of non-small cell lung cancer, breast cancer, melanoma, and colorectal cancer. Heatmaps of clinical timelines were used to display differences in the frequency and timing of clinical trials across trials that used or did not use biomarkers, for all 4 indications. RESULTS: Screening of 8630 clinical trials across the 4 indications yielded 671 unique drugs corresponding to 1224 eligible trials used in our analysis. The constructed heatmaps visually represented that biomarkers did not have an effect on the time gap between trial phases for non-small cell lung cancer and melanoma but did for colorectal and breast cancer trials, reducing the speed of trial timelines. It was also observed that biomarker trials were more often concurrent over shorter periods of time and began later in the timeline for non-small cell lung and colorectal cancers. CONCLUSION: The novel visualization method revealed longer gaps between trial phases, later clinical trial start times, and shorter periods of concurrently run trials for drugs that used biomarkers. The study highlights that biomarker-driven trials might impact drug approval timelines and need to be considered carefully in clinical development plan.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.105 | 0.530 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".