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Record W4293802544 · doi:10.1038/s41467-022-32310-3

Reproducibility of real-world evidence studies using clinical practice data to inform regulatory and coverage decisions

2022· article· en· W4293802544 on OpenAlexafffund
Shirley Wang, Sushama Kattinakere Sreedhara, Sebastian Schneeweiß, Jessica M. Franklin, Joshua J. Gagne, Krista F. Huybrechts, Elisabetta Patorno, Yinzhu Jin, Moa Lee, Mufaddal Mahesri, Ajinkya Pawar, Julie Barberio, Lily G. Bessette, Kristyn Chin, Nileesa Gautam, Adrian Santiago Ortiz, Ellen Sears, Kristina Stefanini, Mimi Zakarian, Sara Z. Dejene, James R. Rogers, Gregory Brill, Joan Landon, Joyce Lii, Theodore Tsacogianis, Seanna Vine, Elizabeth M. Garry, Liza R. Gibbs, Monica Gierada, Danielle L. Isaman, Emma Payne, Sarah Alwardt, Peter Arlett, Dorothee B. Bartels, Andrew Bate, Jesse A. Berlin, Alison Bourke, Brian D. Bradbury, Jeffrey S. Brown, K.L. Burnett, Troyen A. Brennan, K. Arnold Chan, Nam‐Kyong Choi, Frank de Vries, Hans‐Georg Eichler, Kristian B. Filion, Lisa Freeman, Jesper Hallas, Laura E. Happe, Sean Hennessy, Páll Jónsson, John P. A. Ioannidis, Javier Jiménez, Kristijan H. Kahler, Christine Laine, Elizabeth Loder, Amr Makady, David Martin, Michael Nguyen, Brian A. Nosek, Richard Platt, Robert W. Platt, John D. Seeger, William H. Shrank, Liam Smeeth, Henrik Toft Sørensen, Peter Tugwell, Yoshiaki Uyama, Richard J. Willke, Wolfgang C. Winkelmayer­, Deborah A. Zarin

Bibliographic record

VenueNature Communications · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicMeta-analysis and systematic reviews
Canadian institutionsMcGill UniversityJewish General HospitalMcGill University Health Centre
FundersUniversiteit MaastrichtNational Institute on AgingMaastricht Universitair Medisch CentrumCVS HealthArnold VenturesNational Heart, Lung, and Blood InstituteMcGill UniversityBrigham and Women's HospitalSanofiNorthwestern UniversityAmgen
KeywordsData scienceComputer scienceClinical PracticeReproducibilityMedicineStatisticsMathematicsFamily medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Studies that generate real-world evidence on the effects of medical products through analysis of digital data collected in clinical practice provide key insights for regulators, payers, and other healthcare decision-makers. Ensuring reproducibility of such findings is fundamental to effective evidence-based decision-making. We reproduce results for 150 studies published in peer-reviewed journals using the same healthcare databases as original investigators and evaluate the completeness of reporting for 250. Original and reproduction effect sizes were positively correlated (Pearson’s correlation = 0.85), a strong relationship with some room for improvement. The median and interquartile range for the relative magnitude of effect (e.g., hazard ratio original /hazard ratio reproduction ) is 1.0 [0.9, 1.1], range [0.3, 2.1]. While the majority of results are closely reproduced, a subset are not. The latter can be explained by incomplete reporting and updated data. Greater methodological transparency aligned with new guidance may further improve reproducibility and validity assessment, thus facilitating evidence-based decision-making. Study registration number: EUPAS19636.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.378
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.727
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Open science
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch, Open science
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.539
Threshold uncertainty score0.996

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.3780.727
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0090.013
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.938
GPT teacher head0.694
Teacher spread0.244 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations102
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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