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The Dome Fuji ice core DF2021 chronology (0–207 kyr BP)

2022· article· en· W4296371035 on OpenAlexaff
Ikumi Oyabu, Kenji Kawamura, Christo Buizert, Frédéric Parrenin, Anaïs Orsi, Kyotaro Kitamura, Shuji Aoki, Takakiyo Nakazawa

Bibliographic record

VenueQuaternary Science Reviews · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersCentre National de la Recherche ScientifiqueNational Institute of Polar ResearchOregon State UniversityHirosaki UniversityJapan Society for the Promotion of ScienceMinistry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and TechnologyNational Science Foundation
KeywordsChronologyGeologyIce coreSpeleothemClimatologyFirnDome (geology)PaleoclimatologyGlacier mass balanceTephraInterglacialVolcanoPhysical geographyGlacierClimate changeGlacial periodPaleontologyCaveOceanographyGeographyArchaeology

Abstract

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Precise ice-core chronologies are essential for identifying the timing and duration of polar climatic changes as well as their phasing with the changes in other parts of the globe. However, existing ice-core chronologies beyond the last 60 kyr show relatively large disagreements with each other and with U–Th chronologies of speleothems. Here, we constructed new ice and gas age scales for the Dome Fuji (DF) core (DF2021) over the last 207 kyr by combining a Bayesian dating model and firn densification model, constrained by various types of chronological and glaciological information including new δO2/N2 age markers, precise synchronization to other high-quality chronologies (volcanic, cosmogenic, and CH4 signals), and high-resolution δ15N of N2 (reflecting past firn thickness). The new chronology is tightly constrained by synchronization to other well-dated records for the last 60 kyr, whereas it is independent from other chronologies for the older period. For the last 60 kyr, the DF2021 chronology agrees with the layer-counted ice core chronologies (GICC05 and a part of WD2014) and U–Th chronologies of speleothems within ∼200 years. For the period 60–130 kyr BP, the timing of all Dansgaard-Oeschger warming events on DF2021 agree with those of corresponding events in the U–Th dated Chinese or European speleothems mostly within 1 kyr (well within 2σ uncertainty of DF2021). The excellent agreement suggests high accuracy of our chronology, and supports the assumption of negligible phasing between the past local summer solstice insolation and δO2/N2 fractionation at bubble close-off (the basis for constructing the δO2/N2 age markers). Between 130 and 207 kyr BP (penultimate glacial period), there is a lower degree of similarity between the variations in atmospheric CH4 and speleothem calcite δ18O than in the last glacial period, making the age comparison challenging. The comparison of DF2021 with 9 U–Th dates at 7 abrupt events shows the mean difference of −0.2 ± 0.8 kyr, which is within the DF2021 uncertainty (on the order of 1.5 kyr). The DF2021 chronology agrees with the AICC2012 chronology within 2 kyr except between ∼103 and 128 kyr BP where AICC2012 is likely too young by up to ∼4 kyr. By analyzing the lag between δ18O of O2 (δ18Oatm) on DF2021 and 65°N summer solstice insolation, the relatively large error in AICC2012 is found to originate in three δ18Oatm age markers assuming a constant lag, which are off by more than 3 kyr. The phasing between δ18Οatm and orbital forcing identified in this study may be useful for future ice core dating, especially where other age constraints are weak or lacking.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.779
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0040.002
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0020.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.004

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.063
GPT teacher head0.313
Teacher spread0.250 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations32
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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