Structural Changes Preceding the Rapid Intensification of Typhoon Lekima (2019) Under Moderate Vertical Wind Shear
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract The early development of Super Typhoon Lekima (2019) under moderate vertical wind shear (VWS) is examined on the basis of a convection‐permitting simulation with the Weather Research and Forecast model. The tropical cyclone (TC) evolves from a tilted vortex to an upright vortex with a meso‐γ‐scale high‐vorticity core and finally to a vortex with a well‐defined eyewall preceding rapid intensification. The shift of the upper‐middle‐tropospheric vortex to the upshear‐left quadrant is critical to the establishment of an upright TC vortex with high vorticity concentrated in the center. As the upper‐middle‐tropospheric vortex reaches the upshear‐left quadrant, it drifts toward the TC center under the horizontal advective effect of VWS, leading to a reduction of TC vortex tilt. The low stability and high humidity below the upper‐middle‐tropospheric vortex together with the fast increase of upper‐middle‐tropospheric vorticity promote the convection around the TC center, which is important to the maintenance of the nearly upright TC vortex and the development of the high‐vorticity core in TC vortex. The evolution of the TC from an upright vortex with a high‐vorticity core to a vortex with a well‐defined eyewall is bound with the convection near the radius of maximum azimuthal‐mean tangential velocity. The convection enhances the boundary‐layer inflow and then the supergradient force above the radially inward side of the strong boundary‐layer inflow. In this way, the convergence within and above the boundary layer is strengthened, favoring the formation of a ring of deep convection and high vorticity. Such processes are similar to those leading up to secondary eyewall formation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".