Effects of Political Institutions on Economic Growth in CEMAC Member Countries
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The objective of this article is to analyze the effects that political institutions can have on economic growth in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) zone after asking the question of what are the effects of political institutions on economic growth in the CEMAC zone? In this work, we support the hypothesis that the quality of political institutions is not neutral in the performance recorded by CEMAC countries in terms of economic growth. This analysis is based on World Bank World Development Indicators (WDI) data covering the period from 2002 to 2019 and concerns all member countries of the CEMAC zone, except Gabon. The choice of research period and countries was dictated by data availability. To do this, an empirical analysis that highlights the link by the PSTR model which is based on two stages was adopted. This is the verification of the existence or not of a nonlinear relationship and the detection of the number of regimes of the model. It remains from the results obtained that the variables relating to political institutions have a marginal effect on economic growth in the CEMAC countries, because the coefficients associated with these variables are not significant at the 10% threshold. These results suggest that institutional factors (rule of law, political stability and absence of violence and control of corruption) appear as neutral factors in economic growth. These results can be explained by the fact that the quality of governance despite reforms in CEMAC member countries is still weak to support economic growth. These results confirm those obtained by Sievers (2001) who gave a rather mixed assessment of institutions in African countries.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it