Improvement in Individual Symptoms and Total Symptom Score (TSS) and Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison (MAIC) Analysis to Compare TSS As a Continuous Endpoint in Patients with Myelofibrosis Treated with Pelabresib in Combination with Ruxolitinib Versus Janus Kinase Inhibitor Monotherapy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Pelabresib (CPI-0610; PELA) is a bromodomain and extraterminal domain (BET) inhibitor in development for the treatment of myelofibrosis (MF). PELA combined with ruxolitinib (RUX) has shown a 56% response rate for ≥50% reduction in total symptom score (TSS) at Wk 24 from baseline (BL; TSS50) in Janus kinase inhibitor (JAKi) treatment-naïve patients (pts) with intermediate or high-risk MF in Arm 3 of the open-label Phase 2 MANIFEST study (NCT02158858). TSS50 is a standard measure of symptom improvement; however, the 50% response threshold does not capture clinical benefit in pts with TSS reduction <50% or pts who achieve TSS50 but could benefit from further symptom improvement (Dueck A, et al. European Hematology Association 2017. Poster E1331). Here, we present percentage change in TSS and subdomains as a continuous endpoint from Arm 3 of MANIFEST and indirect comparisons with historical double-blind JAKi trials in MF. Aims: To assess clinically meaningful changes in TSS with PELA in combination with RUX. TSS subdomains were analyzed to assess the underlying impact of PELA + RUX on symptom scores. In the absence of head-to-head studies of PELA + RUX vs JAKi monotherapy, naïve and matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) analysis (correcting for potential imbalances in baseline characteristics) were used to investigate improvement in TSS as a continuous endpoint in pts treated with PELA + RUX in Arm 3 of the MANIFEST study with historical double-blind Phase 3 JAKi trials: COMFORT-I (RUX), SIMPLIFY-1 (RUX, momelotinib [MOM]) and JAKARTA (fedratinib [FED]). Methods: In MANIFEST, percentage change in TSS and subdomains (fatigue, night sweats, itching, abdominal discomfort, pain under ribs, feeling of fullness and bone pain) from BL at Week (Wk) 12, 24, 36 and 48 were calculated. Pts with BL score = 0 were excluded. For the MAIC analysis, individual pt level data were available for MANIFEST Arm 3, and study-level data were extracted from published waterfall plots using WebPlotDigitizer (Rohatgia A. https://automeris.io/) for COMFORT-I, SIMPLIFY-1 and JAKARTA (FED 400 mg arm). Unanchored MAIC was conducted, whereby pts were reweighted to adjust for imbalances in key prognostic BL characteristics: gender, MF subtype, International Prognostic Scoring System risk status (IPSS), previous hydroxyurea use, platelet count, hemoglobin levels, spleen volume and JAK2V617F status; as a result, bias due to potential unmeasured differences is unlikely. The weights were used to calculate the effective sample size. Pts with IPSS intermediate-1 were excluded from the analysis. Weighted and unweighted treatment effects in terms of difference in least square (LS) means with their 95% confidence intervals using robust sandwich estimators for variance are presented. Studies used different TSS questionnaire versions; however, variations are subtle, and so comparisons across versions are valid (Dueck A, et al.Blood 2017;130:2168). Results: Comparable mean BL TSS scores were observed: 16.1 in MANIFEST Arm 3 and 17.5-19.4 across comparator Phase 3 studies. In MANIFEST Arm 3, a median reduction from BL of >50% was observed for TSS and all subdomains, and this reduction remained consistent across Wk 12 to Wk 48. TSS distribution in MANIFEST at Wk 24 showed greater median and mean reductions from BL vs JAKi monotherapy studies (Figure 1 shows comparison with RUX in SIMPLIFY-1). Complete summary level balance was achieved in the weighted distributions of the prognostic factors in MANIFEST Arm 3 versus comparators. After adjusting for imbalances, >20% greater reduction in LS mean percentage change in TSS from BL at Wk 24 was observed for all comparisons of MANIFEST Arm 3 vs historical studies, as shown in Figure 2. P values for all MAIC analyses were statistically significant. Conclusions: Analyzing TSS as a continuous endpoint in addition to responder analysis overcomes limitations of using TSS50 alone. TSS50 rates in MANIFEST Arm 3 were higher than all comparator MF studies, and clinically relevant improvements in TSS and its subdomains were observed as early as Wk 12 and were durable over time. When indirectly comparing Arm 3 of the Phase 2 MANIFEST study with historical Phase 3 MF studies using MAIC analysis, improved estimates of changes in TSS with PELA + RUX vs RUX, MOM or FED monotherapy were observed. A randomized Phase 3 MANIFEST-2 study of PELA + RUX vs RUX monotherapy in JAKi-naïve pts is ongoing (NCT04603495). Figure 1View largeDownload PPTFigure 1View largeDownload PPT Close modal
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".