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A Nomogram Prediction Model Based on Tissue Window for the Prognosisof Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke Undergoing Thrombectomy

2022· article· en· W4312019185 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Yan Kong, Jie-ji Zhao, Huiru Chen, Jun-yi Cui, Meng-fan Ye, Tan Li, Xiuying Cai, Linqing Ma, Run-ping Zhang

Bibliographic record

VenueCurrent Neurovascular Research · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAcute Ischemic Stroke Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsNomogramMedicinePenumbraModified Rankin ScaleStroke (engine)Internal medicineCardiologyMultivariate analysisPopulationIschemic strokeSurgeryIschemia

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Objective: Thrombectomy greatly improves the clinical prognosis of patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The aim of this study is to develop a nomogram model that can predict the prognosis of patients with acute ischemic stroke undergoing thrombectomy. Methods: We retrospectively collected information of patients with acute ischemic stroke who were admitted to the stroke Green Channel of the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from September 2018 to May 2022. The main outcome was defined as a three-month unfavorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale 3-6). Based on the results of multivariate regression analysis, a nomogram was established. We tested the accuracy and discrimination of our nomogram by calculating the consistency index (C-index) and plotting the calibration curve. Results: National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score (OR, 1.418; 95% CI, 1.177-1.707; P<0.001), low density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) (OR, 2.705; 95% CI, 1.203-6.080; P = 0.016), Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECTS) (OR, 0.633; 95% CI, 0.421-0.952; P = 0.028), infarct core volume (OR, 1.115; 95% CI, 1.043-1.192; P = 0.001) and ischemic penumbra volume (OR, 1.028; 95% CI, 1.006-1.050; P = 0.012) were independent risk factors for poor clinical prognosis of AIS patients treated with thrombectomy. The C-index of our nomogram was 0.967 and the calibration plot revealed a generally fit in predicting three-month unfavorable outcomes. Based on this nomogram, we stratified the risk of thrombectomy population. We found that low-risk population is less than or equal to 65 points, and patients of more than 65 points tend to have a poor clinical prognosis. Conclusion: The nomogram, composed of NIHSS, LDL-C, ASPECTS, infarct core volume and ischemic penumbra volume, may predict the clinical prognosis of cerebral infarction patients treated with thrombectomy.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.531
Threshold uncertainty score0.778

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.048
GPT teacher head0.340
Teacher spread0.292 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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