Early transient dysautonomia predicts the risk of infantile epileptic spasm syndrome onset: A prospective cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Infantile epileptic spasm syndrome (IESS) is an age-dependent epileptic encephalopathy with a significant risk of developmental regression. This study investigates the association between heart rate variability (HRV) in infants at risk of IESS and the clinical onset of IESS. Methods Sixty neonates at risk of IESS were prospectively followed from birth to 12 months with simultaneous electroencephalogram (EEG) and electrocardiogram recordings for 60 min at every 2-month interval. HRV metrics were calculated from 5 min time-epoch during sleep including frequency domain measures, Poincare analysis including cardiac vagal index (CVI) and cardiac sympathetic index (CSI), and detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA α1, DFA α2). To assess the effect of each HRV metric at the 2-month baseline on the time until the first occurrence of either hypsarrhythmia on EEG and/or clinical spasm, univariate cox-proportional hazard models were fitted for each HRV metric. Results Infantile epileptic spasm syndrome was diagnosed in 20/60 (33%) of the cohort in a 12-month follow-up and 3 (5%) were lost to follow-up. The median age of developing hypsarrhythmia was 25 (7–53) weeks and clinical spasms at 24 (8–40) weeks. Three (5%) patients had clinical spasms without hypsarrhythmia, and 5 (8%) patients had hypsarrhythmia before clinical spasms at the initial presentation. The infants with high CSI (hazard ratio 2.5, 95% CI 1.2–5.2,P= 0.01) and high DFA α1 (hazard ratio 16, 95% CI 1.1–240,P= 0.04) at 2 months were more likely to develop hypsarrhythmia by the first year of age. There was a trend toward decreasing CSI and DFA α1 and increasing CVI in the first 8 months of age. Conclusion Our data suggest that relative sympathetic predominance at an early age of 2 months may be a potential predictor for developing IESS. Hence, early HRV patterns may provide valuable prognostic information in children at risk of IESS allowing early detection and optimization of cognitive outcomes. Whether early intervention to restore sympathovagal balanceper sewould provide clinical benefit must be addressed by future studies.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".