Evidence of Rising Neurological Mortality and Examining Multiple-Interactive Environmental Causes in the 21stCentury
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Aims: To examine whether increased neurological deaths during 21st Century are predominately due to elderly demographics, or major influences of interactive-multiple environmental contributory factors? We examine WHO Early-Adult-Deaths (55-74yearolds), which is below Western life-expectancy, and total Age-Standardised-Death-Rates (ASDR) controlled by age, sex, and population, to challenge the demographic assumption. Method. Based upon WHO latest global neurological mortality categories, Nervous-Disease-Deaths and Alzheimer’s & Other Dementias, which provides the Combined Neurological Death, rates per million (pm), for the twenty-one West-Developed-Nations (WDN) over the period. Early-Adult-Death rates based upon numbers of deaths, divided by 55-74 population and WHO total ASDR during the 21st Century. Increases between Over 75’s population and Over 75’s neurological mortality is compared using Odds Ratios. Numbers of deaths are indicative of family and services pressures. Results: Every country’s 55-74yearolds Nervous-Disease-Deaths rates were higher than Alzheimer’s & Dementia Deaths, ten countries Nervous-Disease-Deaths rose higher than Alzheimer’s & Dementias during Century. Highest Combined Deaths and increases were Finland 1006 per million (pm) up 44%, USA 710pm, rose 39% and UK 653pm a rise of 32%, countries average of 25%, though Belgium, Canada and France rates fell. Highest ASDR were Finland 973pm, up 104%, USA 592pm, rose 76%, UK 553pm, increase 170%. Lowest were Japan 112pm, yet up 90%, Greece 184pm, rose 64% and Austria 214pm increased 102%, average nation’s 62%. Belgium at 387pm up 34%, Canada 401pm, increased 13% and France ASDR 336pm up 11%. Population compared with total neurological amongst Early-Adult-Deaths and Over 75’s, ratios of change, were respectively 1:1.34 and 1:2.21, yielding an Odds ratios of 1:1.65 French total neurological numbers were 40,594 rose to 71,543, up 76%, UK 24,601 to 103,550 increased 321% and the USA 174,708 to 436,438 rising 150%. Discussion: We reject the hypothesis that neurological increases were mainly dues to demographics. Our results support by new studies across the continents, with their findings of significant causal multiple-interactive-environmental pollutants, including, endocrine disruptive chemicals, air pollution, organophosphates, plastics, petrochemicals, impact of low ubiquitous prolonged electro-magnetism, etc, associated with neuro-degenerative disease, especially Early-Onset-Dementia, below Western life-expectancy. Conclusions: Governments should seek urgent research to explain this new epidemic.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".