A deep learning model for the classification of atrial fibrillation in critically ill patients
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in the intensive care unit and is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is often initially paroxysmal and fleeting, making it difficult to diagnose, and therefore difficult to understand the true burden of disease. Automated algorithms to detect AF in the ICU have been advocated as a means to better quantify its true burden. RESULTS: We used a publicly available 12-lead ECG dataset to train a deep learning model for the classification of AF. We then conducted an external independent validation of the model using continuous telemetry data from 984 critically ill patients collected in our institutional database. Performance metrics were stratified by signal quality, classified as either clean or noisy. The deep learning model was able to classify AF with an overall sensitivity of 84%, specificity of 89%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 55%, and negative predictive value of 97%. Performance was improved in clean data as compared to noisy data, most notably with respect to PPV and specificity. CONCLUSIONS: This model demonstrates that computational detection of AF is currently feasible and effective. This approach stands to improve the efficiency of retrospective and prospective research into AF in the ICU by automating AF detection, and enabling precise quantification of overall AF burden.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".