Cytogenetic Abnormalities for Predicting the Risk of Metastases in Choroidal and Ciliary Body Melanoma
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Purpose: Choroidal melanoma (CM) and ciliary body melanoma (CBM) are the two most common subtypes of uveal melanoma. Starting from the observation that CBM tends to have a higher metastatic potential than CM, we hypothesized that specific cytogenetic abnormalities could be associated with tumor location - reflecting distinct genetic signatures that would drive the risk of distant spread. Methods: Chromosomal alterations were investigated by molecular cytogenetic techniques in 217 and 97 patients with CM and CBM, respectively. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to identify the independent predictors of distant metastasis. Results: Patients with CBM had larger tumor sizes (P < 0.001), higher disease stages (P < 0.001), and more frequently showed distant metastasis (P = 0.002) than those with CM. On analyzing the entire study cohort, we found that specific chromosomal alterations - including chromosome 8p loss (P < 0.001), 1p loss (P < 0.001), and monosomy 3 (P < 0.005) - were independent predictors of distant metastasis. Based on a decision-tree learning algorithm, we identified three specific subgroups of patients with uveal melanoma at high risk of distant spread. Monosomy 3 occurred significantly more frequently in patients with T3 CBM tumors. Conclusions: Specific cytogenetic abnormalities - including chromosome 8p loss, 1p loss, and monosomy 3 - are independent risk factors for distant metastasis in uveal melanoma. Larger tumor size at presentation and monosomy 3 contribute to a higher metastatic risk in patients with CBM.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".