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Record W4318457237 · doi:10.3389/feart.2022.987349

A regime shift in North Pacific annual mean sea surface temperature in 2013/14

2023· article· en· W4318457237 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Dong Xiao, Hong‐Li Ren

Bibliographic record

VenueFrontiers in Earth Science · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate variability and models
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNatural Science Foundation of ShanghaiChinese Academy of SciencesMet OfficeNational Science Foundation
KeywordsSea surface temperaturePacific decadal oscillationRegime shiftClimatologyNorth Pacific HighNorthern HemisphereLatitudePrecipitationOceanographyGeologyWestern Hemisphere Warm PoolMiddle latitudesEnvironmental scienceGeographyEcosystem

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This study revealed a new regime shift in the North Pacific annual mean sea surface temperature (SST) in 2013/14, robust in multiple SST data sets. This regime shift shows a horseshoe pattern with warming SST along the North American western coast and toward the Central Pacific. It suggests a phase reversal of the Victoria Mode (VM) and it seems unrelated to the shift in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). Associated with this regime shift, the annual surface air temperature significantly enhanced over the high-latitude landmass after 2014, whereas it declined over northeastern Canada and southwestern Greenland. The annual precipitation generally increased (decreased) in the Northern (Southern) Hemisphere landmass monsoon regions. There are no regime shifts in Equatorial Central-East Pacific SST and the intensity and locations of the Aleutian Low around 2013/14. These facts suggest the regime shift of North Pacific SST in 2013/14 may not originate from the decadal variations of the midlatitude atmosphere and tropical ocean. The extensive influence of this regime shift in 2013/14 on the atmospheric, oceanic and ecological systems warrants further investigation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.032
Threshold uncertainty score0.064

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.214
Teacher spread0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations16
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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