P767 Intestinal ultrasonography predicts short term clinical remission in patients with moderate-to-severe ulcerative colitis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Intestinal ultrasonography (IUS) is a non-invasive, easily accessible and low-cost procedure to visualize the colon and determine disease activity, extent and treatment response in IBD. Our aim was to investigate whether ultrasonographic parameters predict short-term clinical remission in ulcerative colitis (UC). Methods Consecutive patients (pts) with moderate-to-severe UC (total Mayo score>6) starting biological therapies or small molecules were included. Patients were evaluated at baseline by clinical, biochemical, endoscopic (endoscopic Mayo score), and IUS assessments. IUS, doppler and elastographic parameters assessed at baseline before starting therapy were: bowel wall thickening (BWT), echopattern, blood flow (adapted Limberg’ score), Milan Ultrasound criteria (MUC) and shear wave elastography values. The most affected colonic segment was used for all imaging assessments. Clinical remission at 3 months was defined as partial Mayo Score=0-1. Predictive factors of clinical remission at 3 months were analyzed by logistic regression. ROC curve analysis was used to identify the best cut-off of BWT in predicting clinical remission. Results Thirty-one UC pts were enrolled (12 males [39%]; median age: 45 years, range 18-72; median disease duration: 108 months, range 3-312). Sixteen per cent of pts had left colitis and 84% had extensive UC according to the Montreal criteria. Forty-eight per cent of pts were treated with Anti-TNFs, 39% with vedolizumab, 10% with ustekinumab and 3% with tofacitinib. At baseline, 84% of patients had moderate disease and 16% severe disease according to the total Mayo score. A lower total Mayo score and partial mayo score at baseline were predictive of clinical remission at 3 months after starting biological therapy or small molecules than endoscopic Mayo score (OR 0.58, 95% CI 0.33-0.99, p=0.03; OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.29-0.99, p=0.037; OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.16-1.93, p=0.36, respectively; Figure 1, panels A-C). A lower BWT, Limberg’ score and MUC at baseline were predictive of clinical remission at 3 months (OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.05-0.72, p=0.0023; OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.06-0.77, p=0.004; OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.21-0.83, p=0.001, respectively; Figure 1, panels D-F). The most accurate cut-off value of BWT for predicting clinical remission was <6 mm with sensitivity and specificity of 70% and 82%, respectively (Figure 1, panel G). Conclusion IUS easily predicts early clinical remission in patients with moderate-to-severe UC after therapy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".