Comparative effectiveness of metformin versus sulfonylureas on kidney function decline or death among patients with reduced kidney function: a retrospective cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Diabetes often causes kidney disease. In this study, we sought to evaluate if metformin use was associated with death or kidney events in patients with diabetes and concurrent reduced kidney function. Methods: We used data from the Veterans Health Administration, Medicare and National Death Index databases to assemble a national retrospective cohort of veterans who were using metformin or sulfonylureas from 2001 through 2016 and who began follow-up at an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. The primary composite outcome was a kidney event (i.e., 40% decline in eGFR or end-stage renal disease) or death. The secondary outcome was a kidney event (eGFR decline or end-stage renal disease). We weighted the cohort using propensity scores and used Cox proportional models to estimate the cause-specific hazard of outcomes and of treatment nonpersistence as a competing risk. We stratified follow-up into 2 periods, namely the first 360 days from the start of follow-up, and 361 days and beyond. Results: In the first 360 days, the propensity score–weighted cohort included 24 883 patients who used metformin and 24 998 who used sulfonylureas. There were 33.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 30.9–36.3) and 43.0 (95% CI 40.1–46.0) deaths or kidney events per 1000 person-years for patients who used metformin or sulfonylureas, respectively (hazard ratio [HR] 0.78, 95% CI 0.71–0.85). For the secondary outcome of kidney events, the HR was 0.94 (95% CI 0.67–1.33). In the second period from 361 days onward, the primary outcome event rate was 26.5 (95% CI 24.7–28.5) per 1000 person-years for those who used metformin, compared with 36.3 (95% CI 34.2–38.6) per 1000 person-years for those who used sulfonylureas (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.67–0.79). Results were consistent for kidney events alone (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.59–0.91). Interpretation: Metformin use for 361 days or longer after reaching an eGFR of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was associated with decreased likelihood of kidney events or death in patients with diabetes, compared with use of sulfonylureas. Metformin provided end-organ protection, in addition to glucose control.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".