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Record W4318754245 · doi:10.1093/aje/kwad026

Invited Commentary: Cross-Sectional Studies and Causal Inference—It’s Complicated

2023· letter· en· W4318754245 on OpenAlexafffund
Tracie A. Barnett, Anita Koushik, Tibor Schuster

Bibliographic record

VenueAmerican Journal of Epidemiology · 2023
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicAdvanced Causal Inference Techniques
Canadian institutionsUniversité de MontréalMcGill UniversityCentre Hospitalier Universitaire Sainte-Justine
FundersFaculty of Medicine and Health, University of SydneyMcGill University
KeywordsCausal inferenceInferenceCross-sectional studyCausality (physics)EtiologyMedicinePsychologyComputer scienceArtificial intelligencePsychiatryPathology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this issue of the Journal, Savitz and Wellenius (Am J Epidemiol. 2023;192(4):514-516) discuss the contribution of cross-sectional studies to causal inference when the data are used to address etiological research questions. We elaborate on their thoughts with a discussion of the conditions needed for addressing etiology with the cross-sectional design, using a modern causal inference lens.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.020
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies, Research integrity
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.686
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.020
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.003
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.424
GPT teacher head0.536
Teacher spread0.112 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations21
Published2023
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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