OVERTURE: A Worldwide, Prospective, Observational Study of Disease Characteristics in Patients With ADPKD
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction: The course of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) varies greatly among affected individuals, necessitating natural history studies to characterize the determinants and effects of disease progression. Therefore, we conducted an observational, longitudinal study (OVERTURE; NCT01430494) of patients with ADPKD. Methods: = 3409) encompassing a broad spectrum of ages (12-78 years), chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages (G1-G5), and Mayo imaging classifications (1A-1E). Outcomes included kidney function, complications, quality of life, health care resource utilization, and work productivity. Results: Most subjects (84.4%) completed ≥12 months of follow-up. Consistent with earlier findings, each additional l/m of height-adjusted total kidney volume (htTKV) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) was associated with worse outcomes, including lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (regression coefficient 17.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 15.94-18.11) and greater likelihood of hypertension (odds ratio [OR] 1.25, 95% CI 1.17-1.34), kidney pain (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.11-1.33), and hematuria (OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.21-1.51). Greater baseline htTKV was also associated with worse patient-reported health-related quality of life (e.g., ADPKD Impact Scale physical score, regression coefficient 1.02, 95% CI 0.65-1.39), decreased work productivity (e.g., work days missed, regression coefficient 0.55, 95% CI 0.18-0.92), and increased health care resource utilization (e.g., hospitalizations, OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.33-1.64) during follow-up. Conclusion: Although limited by a maximum 3-year duration of follow-up, this observational study characterized the burden of ADPKD in a broad population and indicated the predictive value of kidney volume for outcomes other than kidney function.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".