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A multivariate model to estimate environmental load on an offshore structure

2023· article· en· W4323637128 on OpenAlexafffund
Adhitya Ryan Ramadhani, Faisal Khan, Bruce Colbourne, Salim Ahmed, Mohammed Taleb‐Berrouane

Bibliographic record

VenueOcean Engineering · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicWind and Air Flow Studies
Canadian institutionsMemorial University of Newfoundland
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaCanada Excellence Research Chairs, Government of Canada
KeywordsVine copulaCopula (linguistics)Multivariate statisticsGaussianMultivariate normal distributionEconometricsProbabilistic logicSubmarine pipelineMarginal distributionComputer scienceMathematicsMathematical optimizationStatisticsEngineeringRandom variableGeotechnical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Offshore structures such as oil platforms are subjected to significant environmental loads caused by wind, waves, and current. The complexity of offshore environment requires robust and reliable models to capture dependencies among environmental variables. A vine copula is a powerful tool that can be used to construct multivariate models by decomposing the complex structure into a series of simple pair copulas. Previous studies have shown that simple and symmetric copulas can be used as building blocks to construct vine copula models. In this study, symmetric and asymmetric copula functions are considered building blocks to capture all possible dependency structures. The c-vine model is then used to estimate the total environmental load on an offshore structure. Estimated loads are compared with those using the traditional independent variable approach and a multi-Gaussian distribution function-based method. The results reveal that both symmetric and asymmetric copula functions can be fitted to build c-vine copula models for the trivariate case. C-vine copulas, constructed using asymmetric copulas, provide a better estimation of the total environmental load than the independent and multivariate Gaussian methods . The result of this study is useful in probabilistic structural analysis of offshore structures for design and resilience analysis.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.019

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.218 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2023
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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