MétaCan
Menu
← Back to cohort
Record W4327595119 · doi:10.1111/cag.12837

Hothouse earth: An inhabitant's guide, By BillMcGuire, Icon Books, London, 2022, 192 pp., paperback, $19.95 (ISBN 978‐1785789205)

2023· article· en· W4327595119 on OpenAlexaffvenueabout
William N. Holden

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Geographies / Géographies canadiennes · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicFire effects on ecosystems
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsIconEarth (classical element)Media studiesArtArt historyHistorySociologyComputer scienceMathematicsMathematical physicsProgramming language

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Bill McGuire's book has a foreword, ten chapters, an afterword, three sparse pages of references, and an index. Unfortunately, the book has no maps, which could have been helpful in many places. Its premise is “there is now no chance of dodging a grim future of perilous, all-pervasive, climate breakdown” (p. xiv). “In order to be as prepared as we can be, we need to plan for the worst even as we hope for the best” (p. xvii). However, McGuire views this as difficult because there are countries, such as Canada, which continue developing fossil fuel infrastructure. McGuire discusses a range of issues including: how industrialization gave rise to elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) levels; natural climate changes (including the role of CO2 in those changes); the warming of polar regions; extreme heatwaves and other extreme weather events; sea level rise; elements of uncertainty worsening climate change impacts; how climate change will lead to conflict; climate change's impacts upon human health; and the worst-case scenario in a world of runaway climate change. McGuire's book has its strengths. It gives a readily understandable explanation of how the loss of Arctic Sea ice leads to a meandering jet stream producing extreme cold weather events. McGuire also addresses the oft-articulated view that some places may benefit from climate change due to growing areas moving poleward, pointing out that actually, no one benefits from climate change. “As far as agriculture is concerned,” wrote McGuire, “there are no winners in the global heating game” (p. 80). Discussing geoengineering, defined as “technological schemes involving intentional wholescale interference with the climate” (p. 151), McGuire declares them a distraction only addressing climate change's symptoms rather than its cause, and therefore a distraction from reducing CO2 emissions as fast as possible. McGuire is similarly unenthusiastic about carbon capture and storage—viewing it as something hijacked by fossil fuel industries to “squeeze out the last dribbles from senescent oil fields” (p. 150). McGuire addresses inaction to address climate change, pointing out that “emissions continue to surge, and serious global action to turn the tide is still nowhere to be seen” (p. 151). McGuire also points out how governments provide $11 million of subsidies to the fossil fuel industry every minute. Ultimately, McGuire blames capitalism for the climate crisis, with its emphasis on competition (instead of cooperation) and profit (instead of the greater good). To McGuire, “capitalism is exactly the wrong economic system to have in place during a time of global crisis” (p. 161). McGuire's book is not, however, without weaknesses. McGuire discusses the asymmetries in CO2 emissions between rich and poor; by 2030 the world's richest 1% are predicted to have annual per capita CO2 emissions of 70 tonnes, while the world's poorest 50% (who will bear the brunt of climate change) are predicted to have annual per capita emissions of only “one measly tonne” (p. 160). However, the book lacks discussion of climate injustice, how those countries who have done the least to cause climate change are also those most vulnerable to its effects (Holden, 2018; Shue, 2014; Vanderheiden, 2008). The lack of a comprehensive bibliography providing sources for virtually all the book's pithy statements is disappointing. There are also other books, focusing on climate change's specific aspects, which provide more robust discussions. For climate change's severity there is Wallace-Wells (2019); for drought there is De Buys (2011); for the oceans there is Rohling (2017); climate change and conflict are better covered by Parenti (2011); and for the incompatibility of capitalism with climate change there is Klein (2014) or even Pope Francis's 2015 Encyclical Laudato Si. Nevertheless, this reviewer recommends this book. As someone who teaches environmental science in Alberta, where many view climate change as a socialist plot to undermine the oil industry (and where environmentalists are described with opprobrium), McGuire provides a succinct warning of humanity's perils in the coming dystopian future.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.228
Threshold uncertainty score0.761

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0060.006
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.2280.197

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.187
Teacher spread0.182 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueCanadian Geographies / Géographies canadiennes→Same topicFire effects on ecosystems→French-language works237,207→