Effects of race, baseline cognition, and APOE on the association of affective dysregulation with incident dementia: A longitudinal study of dementia-free older adults
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Affective symptoms are dementia risk factors. Mild behavioral impairment (MBI) is a neurobehavioral syndrome that refines incorporation of psychiatric symptomatology into dementia prognostication by stipulating symptoms must emerge de novo in later life and persist for ≥6 months. Here, we investigated the longitudinal association of MBI-affective dysregulation with incident dementia. METHODS: National Alzheimer Coordinating Centre participants with normal cognition (NC) or mild cognitive impairment (MCI) were included. MBI-affective dysregulation was operationalized as Neuropsychiatric Inventory Questionnaire-measured depression, anxiety, and elation at two consecutive visits. Comparators had no neuropsychiatric symptoms (no NPS) in advance of dementia. Cox proportional hazard models were implemented to assess the risk of dementia, adjusted for age, sex, years of education, race, cognitive diagnosis, and APOE-ε4 status, with interaction terms as appropriate. RESULTS: The final sample included 3698 no-NPS (age:72.8; 62.7 % female), and 1286 MBI-affective dysregulation participants (age:75; 54.5 % female). MBI-affective dysregulation had lower dementia-free survival (p < 0.0001) and greater incidence of dementia (HR = 1.76, CI:1.48-2.08, p < 0.001) versus no NPS. Interaction analyses revealed that MBI-affective dysregulation was associated with higher dementia incidence in Black participants than White (HR = 1.70, CI:1.00-2.87, p = 0.046), NC than MCI (HR = 1.73, CI:1.21-2.48, p = 0.0028), and APOE-ε4 noncarriers than carriers (HR = 1.47, CI:1.06-2.02, p = 0.0195). Of MBI-affective dysregulation converters to dementia, 85.5 % developed Alzheimer's disease, which increased to 91.4 % in those with amnestic MCI. LIMITATIONS: MBI-affective dysregulation was not stratified by symptom to further examine dementia risk. CONCLUSIONS: Emergent and persistent affective dysregulation in dementia-free older adults is associated with substantial risk for dementia and should be considered in clinical assessments.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".