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Record W4362519372 · doi:10.24908/iqurcp16352

The Effects Atmospheric Changes Have on Runoff

2023· article· en· W4362519372 on OpenAlexaffvenueabout
Marco Tobio

Bibliographic record

VenueInquiry Queen s Undergraduate Research Conference Proceedings · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicHydrology and Watershed Management Studies
Canadian institutionsQueen's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSurface runoffEnvironmental scienceClimate changePrecipitationWatershedFlood mythHydrology (agriculture)Drainage basinFlooding (psychology)AridCarbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphereStreamflowGlobal warmingEcologyGeographyGeologyMeteorologyOceanography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Over the last century, the earth has seen unprecedented atmospheric concentrations contaminate our ecosystems due to human activity. Predictions state the introduction of carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), will increase temperatures, and change the amount and location of precipitation causing more runoff. This could potentially result in disturbance events such as floods, to be more frequent and severe. This study aims to perform an assessment of the effects of a range of hypothetical climate changes on runoff in the North-east Pond River watershed, located in Newfoundland. To carry this out a watershed runoff model simulates runoff in the basin for current climatic conditions and for hypothetical climatic conditions that represent a range of possible climate changes (Bobba et al., 1997). The hypothetical changes in climate will showcase the effects of a 2oC increase in temperature on the total annual precipitation. This will then be compared to flood forecasting models to analyze how runoff will be affected by various climatic conditions, inducing unusual flooding events (Wijayarathne & Coulibaly, 2020). Previous studies have indicated the runoff sensitivity in watersheds to changes in temperatures which raises concerns as to the adverse effects this may cause in limiting water resources in the semi-arid regions in parts of Canada and the U.S. Thus, there is a need to increase the understanding of the sensitivity of water resources in Canadian watersheds to climate variability and climate change as effects of this magnitude on the North-east Pond River could have significant environmental implications.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.150
Threshold uncertainty score0.298

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.058
GPT teacher head0.333
Teacher spread0.275 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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