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Record W4366721600 · doi:10.3138/cjpe.15.004

Is the Bottom Line “Impact” or Profits? A Rejoinder

2000· article· en· W4366721600 on OpenAlexvenueaboutno aff
Kenneth Watson

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Program Evaluation · 2000
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicRegional Economics and Spatial Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLine (geometry)EconomicsMathematicsGeometry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

There are two very different views about the value of subsidizing otherwise unviable businesses in declining regions of the economy.One view emphasizes that an economy cannot succeed by investing in money-losing businesses.Kristian Palda, professor emeritus in the faculty of business at Queen's University, recently wrote of the Export Development Corporation of Canada: "The logic is that by bleeding healthy parts of the economy to coddle non-performers, Canada will breed efficient businesses, or businesses that serve some vaguely defined national interest" (Palda, 2000).The second view was exemplified by the Premier of Quebec, Lucien Bouchard, when he spoke in 1998 of the "boost" that the economy of Quebec had received from spending to repair the ravages of the great ice storm.The repairs made the provincial gross domestic product figure look good for a year or two.The "impact" was a higher "growth" rate.GDP numbers are key, even if the activity is debt-supported and profits and wealth have taken a beating.The article "Evaluating Policy Outcomes: Federal Economic Development Programs in Atlantic Canada" is an extreme version of the second view.Not only does it claim that it is costless for the federal government to tax the prosperous areas of Canada to provide subsidies to business in depressed areas, it is actually profitable.The authors state that, in 1997, the federal government reaped approximately five times as much in tax revenues "resulting from ACOA expenditures" as it made in grants.Over the period of the study, manufacturing employment in the Atlantic provinces dropped 18.1%, and business employment overall fell by 6.1% (figures 5 and 6).What is the explanation for the disparity between the rosy view of a great success of subsidies in Atlantic businesses and the disastrous economic bottom line?The authors argue that the non-subsidized part of the economy performed

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.014
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.047
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.023
Threshold uncertainty score0.075

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0140.047
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0040.030
Scholarly communication0.0110.018
Open science0.0040.005
Research integrity0.0230.055
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.164
GPT teacher head0.334
Teacher spread0.169 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2000
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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