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Record W4367598633 · doi:10.1214/22-aoas1656

Robust joint modelling of left-censored longitudinal data and survival data with application to HIV vaccine studies

2023· article· en· W4367598633 on OpenAlexaff
Tingting Yu, Lang Wu, Qiu Jin, Peter B. Gilbert

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Annals of Applied Statistics · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicStatistical Methods and Inference
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
KeywordsOutlierEstimatorInferenceMultivariate statisticsLongitudinal dataComputer scienceStatisticsHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV)Longitudinal studyData miningEconometricsMathematicsArtificial intelligenceMedicineImmunology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In jointly modelling longitudinal and survival data, the longitudinal data may be complex in the sense that they may contain outliers and may be left censored. Motivated from an HIV vaccine study, we propose a robust method for joint models of longitudinal and survival data, where the outliers in longitudinal data are addressed using a multivariate t-distribution for b-outliers and using an M-estimator for e-outliers. We also propose a computationally efficient method for approximate likelihood inference. The proposed method is evaluated by simulation studies. Based on the proposed models and method, we analyze the HIV vaccine data and find a strong association between longitudinal biomarkers and the risk of HIV infection.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.017
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.052
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.983
Threshold uncertainty score0.089

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0170.052
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.623
GPT teacher head0.446
Teacher spread0.177 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
DomainMethods
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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