Association of Time of Day with Delays in Antimicrobial Initiation among Ward Patients with Hospital-Onset Sepsis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Rationale Although the mainstay of sepsis treatment is timely initiation of broad-spectrum antimicrobials, treatment delays are common, especially among patients who develop hospital-onset sepsis. The time of day has been associated with suboptimal clinical care in several contexts, but its association with treatment initiation among patients with hospital-onset sepsis is unknown. Objectives Assess the association of time of day with antimicrobial initiation among ward patients with hospital-onset sepsis. Methods This retrospective cohort study included ward patients who developed hospital-onset sepsis while admitted to five acute care hospitals in a single health system from July 2017 through December 2019. Hospital-onset sepsis was defined by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Adult Sepsis Event criteria. We estimated the association between the hour of day and antimicrobial initiation among patients with hospital-onset sepsis using a discrete-time time-to-event model, accounting for time elapsed from sepsis onset. In a secondary analysis, we fit a quantile regression model to estimate the association between the hour of day of sepsis onset and time to antimicrobial initiation. Results Among 1,672 patients with hospital-onset sepsis, the probability of antimicrobial initiation at any given hour varied nearly fivefold throughout the day, ranging from 3.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.8–4.1%) at 7 a.m. to 13.9% (95% CI, 11.3–16.5%) at 6 p.m., with nadirs at 7 a.m. and 7 p.m. and progressive decline throughout the night shift (13.4% [95% CI, 10.7–16.0%] at 9 p.m. to 3.2% [95% CI, 2.0–4.0] at 6 a.m.). The standardized predicted median time to antimicrobial initiation was 3.2 hours (interquartile range [IQR], 2.5–3.8 h) for sepsis onset during the day shift (7 a.m.–7 p.m.) and 12.9 hours (IQR, 10.9–14.9 h) during the night shift (7 p.m.–7 a.m.). Conclusions The probability of antimicrobial initiation among patients with new hospital-onset sepsis declined at shift changes and overnight. Time to antimicrobial initiation for patients with sepsis onset overnight was four times longer than for patients with onset during the day. These findings indicate that time of day is associated with important care processes for ward patients with hospital-onset sepsis. Future work should validate these findings in other settings and elucidate underlying mechanisms to inform quality-enhancing interventions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.012 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".