Characteristics of mpox positive, versus mpox negative, and mpox unsuspected clients from the Centre of Sexual Health, Public Health Service of Amsterdam, 20 May to 15 September 2022
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In May 2022, an outbreak of mpox (monkeypox) in men-who-have-sex-with-men (MSM) emerged and quickly affected over 100 countries. In the early stages of the outbreak, overlap in symptoms with sexually transmitted infections (STI) made triage for mpox testing challenging. More information was needed on whom to screen and the main route of transmission. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to identify characteristics of mpox cases to further strengthen case definitions. We also compared Cycle threshold (Ct) values of the DNA positive mpox samples as a proxy for viral load by body location. METHODS: From 20 May 2022 to 15 September 2022, we tested all MSM who presented with malaise, and/or ulcerative lesions, and/or proctitis and/or a papular-vesicular-pustular eruption attending the Centre of Sexual Health in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, for mpox, with a PCR test. In the same period, 6932 MSM mpox unsuspected clients were not tested. We compared those tested positive for mpox with those tested negative and those unsuspected for mpox. RESULTS: Of the 374 MSM tested, 135 (36%) were positive for mpox. The mpox-positive MSM were older (median age, respectively, 36, 34 and 34 years, p = 0.019) and more often lived with HIV (30% vs. 16% and 7%, p < 0.001). Furthermore, mpox-positive patients more often reported receptive anal sex without a condom, sexualized drug use, more sex partners, and were more often diagnosed with bacterial STI (p < 0.001). Systemic symptoms and anogenital lesions were associated with mpox infection. For mpox-positive patients, anal samples (p = 0.009) and lesional samples (p = 0.006) showed significantly lower median mpox Ct values compared to throat samples. CONCLUSIONS: Mpox-positive patients more often reported receptive anal sex without a condom, had more sex partners and more often lived with HIV. Our results suggest that in the current mpox outbreak among MSM, sexual transmission is the main route.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".