Storm‐Time Subauroral Ionospheric Plasma Density Irregularities and the Substorm Current Wedge
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract We report on the development of plasma density irregularities in the subauroral ionosphere over the North American sector during the 17 March 2015 Saint Patrick's Day geomagnetic storm. Data from network of ground‐based observation instruments including the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Continuously Operating Reference Station global navigation satellite system receivers and Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions during Substorms (THEMIS) all‐sky imagers, as well as in situ measurements from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) and the Van Allen Radiation Belt Storm Probes (RBSP) spacecrafts, were examined to characterize the spatial and temporal development of subauroral irregularities. The auroral electrojet (AE) index was used as primary indicator of substorm occurrences, aided by some cross‐referencing with the SYM‐H index and SYM‐H time derivative. Special attention was given to substorms that happened at the beginning of this geomagnetic storm. Analysis of Global Positioning System (GPS) rate‐of‐total electron content index (ROTI) data along an east‐west cut line near the US‐Canada border indicates that subauroral ionospheric irregularities may start to form as early as a few minutes after a substantial increase in the AE index. Contemporaneous DMSP and RBSP observations confirmed the presence of subauroral polarization streams wave structures when the aforementioned enhancement in AE index and GPS ROTI occurred. An equatorward expansion of bright auroral arc and subsequent auroral breakups were also seen in the THEMIS all‐sky imager observation data. The relatively short time scales for irregularities to develop suggest possible roles played by the penetration of magnetotail plasma flow bursts into the plasmasphere and the substorm current wedge development in their formation in the subauroral ionosphere.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".