Biochemical recurrence (BCR) among patients (pts) with prostate cancer (PC) after radiation therapy (RT).
Bibliographic record
Abstract
e17111 Background: RT is a frequent primary treatment for pts with clinically localized PC. Despite its frequent success, 30-50% of pts eventually present with BCR, defined as rising prostate-specific antigen (PSA). BCR is associated with a higher risk of developing distant metastasis and ultimately death from PC. Understanding BCR occurrence and its impact on clinical outcomes is important for optimizing diagnostic and therapeutic strategies for recurrent disease. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort study using nationally representative Electronic Medical Records (EMR) data from Optum© from 1/2010-9/2021. Eligible pts were adults who underwent RT after PC diagnosis, had ≥ 3 available PSA values after initiating RT, and had EMR activity for at least 6 mo before and 12 mo after RT. Pts with a history of prior malignancy except nonmelanoma skin cancers and pts with metastatic PC (mPC) at baseline (BL) or within 3 months after RT were excluded. The BL period was 6 mo before RT initiation. Primary outcome was frequency of BCR, defined as rising PSA (PSA ≥ nadir + 2 ng/mL); secondary analyses included % of pts who progressed to mPC, castration-resistant PC (CRPC), and death after BCR and factors impacting time to BCR. Results: 9,292 RT pts were included in this analysis. Key pt characteristics/outcomes are shown in the Table. Median (range) age was 69.0 (40-88) y, 83.2% of pts were White, and 13.4% were Black. Median PSA nadir was 0.11 ng/mL, 32.5% of pts had received androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) during BL period, and median (Q1-Q3) follow-up from RT initiation was 3.8 (2.4-5.7) y. Overall, 10.2% of pts developed BCR. Among BCR pts (n = 949), 51.2% had a PSA doubling time (PSADT) < 6 mo and 16.9% had a PSADT between 6-10 mo; 35.0% developed mPC, 30.2% developed CRPC, and 23.4% died. In multivariate Cox regression models, the BL factor associated with the highest risk of developing BCR was PSA ≥ 20 ng/mL. Conversely, the risk of developing BCR was lower for pts who received ADT during BL. Conclusions: This real-world (RW) study evaluates BCR occurrence in pts who underwent RT with a curative intent from a large US database. The study confirms BL PSA as an important prognostic marker for BCR, while use of ADT before RT is associated with a lower risk of BCR. A considerable % of pts with BCR developed mPC (35%) or died (23%) during the study period. Novel treatment strategies are needed to delay BCR and further progression to advanced PC in pts with high-risk localized disease. [Table: see text]
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".