Long-term survival with IDH wildtype glioblastoma: first results from the ETERNITY Brain Tumor Funders’ Collaborative Consortium (EORTC 1419)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BackgroundMedian survival with glioblastoma remains in the range of 12 months on population levels. Only few patients survive for more than 5 years. Patient and disease features associated with long-term survival remain poorly defined.MethodsEuropean Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) 1419 (ETERNITY) is a registry study supported by the Brain Tumor Funders Collaborative in the US and the EORTC Brain Tumor Group. Patients with glioblastoma surviving at least 5 years from diagnosis were identified at 24 sites in Europe, US, and Australia. In patients with isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) wildtype tumours, prognostic factors were analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazards model. A population-based reference cohort was obtained from the Cantonal cancer registry Zurich.ResultsAt the database lock of July 2020, 280 patients with histologically centrally confirmed glioblastoma (189 IDH wildtype, 80 IDH mutant, 11 incompletely characterised) had been registered. In the IDH wildtype population, median age was 56 years (range 24–78 years), 96 patients (50.8%) were female, 139 patients (74.3%) had tumours with O6-methylguanine DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation. Median overall survival was 9.9 years (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 7.9–11.9). Patients without recurrence experienced longer median survival (not reached) than patients with one or more recurrences (8.92 years) (p < 0.001) and had a high rate (48.8%) of MGMT promoter-unmethylated tumours.ConclusionsFreedom from progression is a powerful predictor of overall survival in long-term survivors with glioblastoma. Patients without relapse often have MGMT promoter-unmethylated glioblastoma and may represent a distinct subtype of glioblastoma.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".