Construction of prediction model for KRAS mutation status of colorectal cancer based on CT radiomics
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In this study, we used computed tomography (CT)-based radiomics signatures to predict the mutation status of KRAS in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) and to identify the phase of radiomics signature with the most robust and high performance from triphasic enhanced CT. METHODS: This study involved 447 patients who underwent KRAS mutation testing and preoperative triphasic enhanced CT. They were categorized into training (n = 313) and validation cohorts (n = 134) in a 7:3 ratio. Radiomics features were extracted using triphasic enhanced CT imaging. The Boruta algorithm was used to retain the features closely associated with KRAS mutations. The Random Forest (RF) algorithm was used to develop radiomics, clinical, and combined clinical-radiomics models for KRAS mutations. The receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve were used to evaluate the predictive performance and clinical usefulness of each model. RESULTS: Age, CEA level, and clinical T stage were independent predictors of KRAS mutation status. After rigorous feature screening, four arterial phase (AP), three venous phase (VP), and seven delayed phase (DP) radiomics features were retained as the final signatures for predicting KRAS mutations. The DP models showed superior predictive performance compared to AP or VP models. The clinical-radiomics fusion model showed excellent performance, with an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.772, 0.792, and 0.646 in the training cohort, and 0.755, 0.724, and 0.684 in the validation cohort, respectively. The decision curve showed that the clinical-radiomics fusion model had more clinical practicality than the single clinical or radiomics model in predicting KRAS mutation status. CONCLUSION: The clinical-radiomics fusion model, which combines the clinical and DP radiomics model, has the best predictive performance for predicting the mutation status of KRAS in CRC, and the constructed model has been effectively verified by an internal validation cohort.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".