Abstract 12798: Plasma Ferritin, Incident Heart Failure Phenotypes, And Cardiac Dysfunction in Late Life: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction: Iron deficiency affects 10% of adults aged 70 years or older and is associated with worse symptom burden and a higher risk of hospitalization in adults with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in mid-life. However, the relationships between iron deficiency and incident HF, HFrEF and HF with preserved EF (HFpEF) in late life remain incompletely understood. Hypothesis: Iron deficiency, as measured by lower plasma ferritin levels, is associated with an increased risk of incident HF, HFrEF, and HFpEF in older adults. Methods: We included 3,567 participants (mean age 75 years, 56% women and 14% Black) from the ongoing, ARIC study who had plasma ferritin measured by an aptamer assay (SomaLogic) and were free from prevalent HF and anemia (Hb <13 for men and <12 for women). The associations of log 2 -transformed plasma ferritin with adjudicated incident overall HF, HFrEF (LVEF < 50%) and HFpEF were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. The associations of plasma ferritin with echocardiographic measures of cardiac size and function at Visit 5 were estimated with linear regression models. All models were adjusted for age, sex, race, smoking, body mass index, coronary heart disease, diabetes, hypertension, atrial fibrillation and eGFR. Results: Over a median 7 years of follow-up, 312 incident HF events occurred (140 HFrEF, 137 HFpEF, 51 unknown EF). Lower ferritin level was associated with a higher risk of overall HF and HFpEF, but not HFrEF ( Figure ). Lower ferritin levels associated with a higher E/e' ratio (standardized beta [95% CI]: 0.06 [0.03-0.08]; P<0.01). Plasma ferritin levels did not associate with LV mass index or measures of LV systolic function (ejection fraction, global longitudinal strain; all P > 0.05). Conclusion: Lower plasma ferritin levels associate with higher LV filling pressure and greater risk of incident HF, and in particular HFpEF, in late life. Iron deficiency may contribute to the pathophysiology of HF in late life.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".