Radiomics approaches to predict PD-L1 and PFS in advanced non-small cell lung patients treated with immunotherapy: a multi-institutional study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
With the increasing use of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), there is an urgent need to identify biomarkers to stratify responders and non-responders using programmed death-ligand (PD-L1) expression, and to predict patient-specific outcomes such as progression free survival (PFS). The current study is aimed to determine the feasibility of building imaging-based predictive biomarkers for PD-L1 and PFS through systematically evaluating a combination of several machine learning algorithms with different feature selection methods. A retrospective, multicenter study of 385 advanced NSCLC patients amenable to ICIs was undertaken in two academic centers. Radiomic features extracted from pretreatment CT scans were used to build predictive models for PD-L1 and PFS (short-term vs. long-term survivors). We first employed the LASSO methodology followed by five feature selection methods and seven machine learning approaches to build the predictors. From our analyses, we found several combinations of feature selection methods and machine learning algorithms to achieve a similar performance. Logistic regression with ReliefF feature selection (AUC = 0.64, 0.59 in discovery and validation cohorts) and SVM with Anova F-test feature selection (AUC = 0.64, 0.63 in discovery and validation datasets) were the best-performing models to predict PD-L1 and PFS. This study elucidates the application of suitable feature selection approaches and machine learning algorithms to predict clinical endpoints using radiomics features. Through this study, we identified a subset of algorithms that should be considered in future investigations for building robust and clinically relevant predictive models.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".