AN AUTOMATED, WEB-BASED TRIAGE TOOL MAY OPTIMIZE REFERRAL PATHWAYS IN ELECTIVE ORTHOPAEDIC SURGERY: A PROOF OF CONCEPT STUDY
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Knee pain is common, representing a significant socioeconomic burden. Caused by a variety of pathologies, its evaluation in primary-care is challenging. Subsequently, an over-reliance on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) exists. Prior to orthopaedic surgeon referral, many patients receive no, or incorrect, imaging. Electronic-triage (e-triage) tools represent an innovative solution to address this problem. The primary aim of this study was to ascertain whether an e-triage tool is capable of outperforming existing clinical pathways to determine the correct pre-hospital imaging based on knee pain diagnosis. Patients ≥18 years with a new presentation of knee pain were retrospectively identified. The timing and appropriateness of imaging was assessed. A symptom-based e-triage tool was developed, using the Amazon LEXbotplatform, and piloted to predict five common knee pathologies and suggest appropriate imaging. 1462 patients were identified. 17% of arthroplasty patients received an ‘unnecessary MRI’, whilst 28% of arthroscopy patients did not have a ‘necessary MRI’, thus requiring a follow-up appointment, with a mean delay of three months (SD 2.6, range 0.2-20.2). Using NHS tariffs, a wasted cost through unnecessary/necessary MRIs and subsequent follow-up appointments was estimated at £45,816. The e-triage pilot was trialled with 41 patients (mean age:58.4 years, 58.5% female). Preliminary diagnoses were available for 34 patients. Using the highest proportion of reported symptoms in the corresponding group, the e-triage tool correctly identified three of the four knee pathologies. The e-triage tool did not correctly identify anterior cruciate ligament injuries (n=3). 79.2% of participants would use the tool again. A significant number of knee pathology patients received incorrect imaging prior to their initial hospital appointment, incurring delays and unnecessary costs. A symptom-based e-triage tool was developed, with promising pilot data and user feedback. With refinement, this tool has the potential to improve wait-times and referral quality, whilst reducing costs.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".