Development and validation of a 21-gene prognostic signature in neuroblastoma
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Survival outcomes for patients with neuroblastoma vary markedly and reliable prognostic markers and risk stratification tools are lacking. We sought to identify and validate a transcriptomic signature capable of predicting risk of mortality in patients with neuroblastoma. The TARGET NBL dataset (n = 243) was used to develop the model and two independent cohorts, E-MTAB-179 (n = 478) and GSE85047 (n = 240) were used as validation sets. EFS was the primary outcome and OS was the secondary outcome of interest for all analysis. We identified a 21-gene signature capable of stratifying neuroblastoma patients into high and low risk groups in the E-MTAB-179 (HR 5.87 [3.83-9.01], p < 0.0001, 5 year AUC 0.827) and GSE85047 (HR 3.74 [2.36-5.92], p < 0.0001, 5 year AUC 0.815) validation cohorts. Moreover, the signature remained independent of known clinicopathological variables, and remained prognostic within clinically important subgroups. Further, the signature was effectively incorporated into a risk model with clinicopathological variables to improve prognostic performance across validation cohorts (Pooled Validation HR 6.93 [4.89-9.83], p < 0.0001, 5 year AUC 0.839). Similar prognostic utility was also demonstrated with OS. The identified signature is a robust independent predictor of EFS and OS outcomes in neuroblastoma patients and can be combined with clinically utilized clinicopathological variables to improve prognostic performance.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".