Frailty in relation to the risk of carotid atherosclerosis and cardiovascular events in Chinese community-dwelling older adults: A five-year prospective cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the frailty, as estimated by accumulated health deficits, in association with the symptomatic carotid atherosclerosis and in relation to five-year cardiovascular (CVD) outcomes. METHODS: This is a five-year prospective cohort study. Secondary analysis of data from the Beijing Longitudinal Study on Aging. Community-dwelling people aged 55+ years (n = 1257) have been followed between 2009 and 2014, and having carotid ultrasonography examinations with no CVD events at baseline. Frailty was quantified using the deficit accumulation-based frailty index (FI), constructed from 37 health deficits assessed at baseline. The association between the degree of frailty and carotid atherosclerosis was examined using odds ratios (OR) with multivariate logistic regression analyses. Effects of frailty on the probability of five-year cardiovascular events and mortality were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard ratios (HR). The analyses were adjusted for demographics, baseline carotid atherosclerosis status, and CVD risk factors. RESULTS: The FI showed characteristic properties and was independently associated with the major carotid atherosclerosis symptoms, including carotid artery intima-media thickening (the most frail vs. the least frail: OR = 4.39: 1.98-7.82), carotid plaque (OR = 3.41: 1.28-6.54), and carotid plaque stability (OR = 1.19, 95 % CI: 1.01-3.59). Compared with the least frail, the most frail individuals were more likely to develop a cardiovascular event in five years, including myocardial infarction (HR = 3.38, 95 % CI = 1.84-6.19), stroke (HR = 1.26, 95 % CI = 1.00-5.87), CVD death (HR = 6.33, 95 % CI = 1.69-11.02), and all-cause death (HR = 5.95, 95 % CI = 2.74-8.95). CONCLUSION: Deficit accumulation was closely associated with carotid atherosclerosis risks and strongly predicted five-year CVD events. The frailty index can be used to help identify older adults at high risks of CVD for improved preventive healthcare.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".