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Record W4386365360 · doi:10.1021/acs.est.3c01898

Anthropogenic Chloroform Emissions from China Drive Changes in Global Emissions

2023· article· en· W4386365360 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Minde An, Luke M. Western, Jianxin Hu, Bo Yao, Jens Mühle, Anita L. Ganesan, Ronald G. Prinn, Paul B. Krummel, Ryan Hossaini, Xuekun Fang, Simon O’Doherty, Ray F. Weiss, Dickon Young, Matthew Rigby

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironmental Science & Technology · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicAtmospheric Ozone and Climate
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNational Key Research and Development Program of ChinaNatural Environment Research CouncilCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research OrganisationH2020 EnergyBureau of Meteorology, Australian GovernmentDepartment for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy, UK GovernmentDepartment of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and WaterNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationSight Research UK
KeywordsMontreal ProtocolEnvironmental scienceGreenhouse gasEmission inventoryOzoneAtmospheric emissionsOzone layerChinaEnvironmental engineeringEnvironmental protectionEnvironmental chemistryAtmospheric sciencesMeteorologyChemistryAir quality indexGeographyEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Emissions of chloroform (CHCl 3 ), a short-lived halogenated substance not currently controlled under the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer, are offsetting some of the achievements of the Montreal Protocol. In this study, emissions of CHCl 3 from China were derived by atmospheric measurement-based “top-down” inverse modeling and a sector-based “bottom-up” inventory method. Top-down CHCl 3 emissions grew from 78 (72–83) Gg yr –1 in 2011 to a maximum of 193 (178–204) Gg yr –1 in 2017, followed by a decrease to 147 (138–154) Gg yr –1 in 2018, after which emissions remained relatively constant through 2020. The changes in emissions from China could explain all of the global changes during the study period. The CHCl 3 emissions in China were dominated by anthropogenic sources, such as byproduct emissions during disinfection and leakage from chloromethane industries. Had emissions continued to grow at the rate observed up to 2017, a delay of several years in Antarctic ozone layer recovery could have occurred. However, this delay will be largely avoided if global CHCl 3 emissions remain relatively constant in the future, as they have between 2018 and 2020.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.069
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.007
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.219 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations29
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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