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S982 Association of Histologic-Endoscopic Response and Long-Term Clinical Outcomes: Results From Phase 2 Mirikizumab Trial in Patients With Moderately-to-Severely Active Crohn’s Disease

2023· article· en· W4387751088 on OpenAlexaff
Vipul Jairath, Marijana Protić, Walter Reinisch, Gert De Hertogh, Noam Harpaz, Rish K. Pai, Zhantao Lin, Rebecca R. Hozak, Hilde Carlier, Fernando Margo

Bibliographic record

VenueThe American Journal of Gastroenterology · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
TopicInflammatory Bowel Disease
Canadian institutionsWestern University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineCrohn's diseaseInternal medicineGastroenterologyRandomized controlled trialClinical endpointClinical diseaseEndoscopyDiseaseSurgery

Abstract

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Introduction: We explored the potential relationship between early histologic and endoscopic responses on long term clinical outcomes after 2 years of mirikizumab (miri) treatment in a Phase 2 trial in patients with moderately-to-severely active Crohn’s disease (CD). Methods: Patients were randomized 2:1:1:2 to 4 treatment arms: miri 1000mg, 600mg, 200mg, and PBO administered intravenously (IV) at W0, W4, and W8. Patients who received miri and achieved ≥1 point improvement at W12 in Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s disease score were re-randomized to either continue their induction IV dose or receive miri 300mg subcutaneously every 4 weeks up to W52. Subjects reported to experience clinical benefit received 300mg SC from W52 to W104. Biopsies were obtained during endoscopy at W0, W12 and W52 from the edges of any ulcers or from the most inflamed mucosa in the terminal ileum and 4 colonic segments and were scored by blinded central readers. Endpoints were defined post-hoc and prior to analyses (see Table 1). Among patients receiving miri with active histological disease at baseline, we determined the relationship between histologic and/or endoscopic response or remission at W12 and W52 with clinical remission based on the Crohn’s Disease Activity Index (CDAI), patient-reported outcomes (PRO), and hospitalization rates at W104. Results: W104, 56.9% patients (N=137) achieved CDAI remission vs 41.5% of 176 patients at W52. We observed no association between early (W12) histologic, endoscopic, or combined (histo-endo) response and clinical remission (CDAI & PRO) at 2 years. After 2 years, the percentage of patients achieving remission based on CDAI varied according to their response at W52 by histology (60%), endoscopy (25.9%), both histo-endo (56.3%), or neither (10.5%, P=0.006; Table 1). Similarly, the proportion of patients who achieved 2-year clinical remission (by CDAI) varied according to W52 remission by histology (72.7%), endoscopy (40%), both histo-endo (40%) or neither (19.5%, P=0.007). Hospitalization rates during this period were low and varied according to W52 response by histology (16.7%), endoscopy (0%), both (0%) or neither (3.9%, P=0.021). Conclusion: In CD patients treated with miri for 2 years, long term clinical remission (CDAI, PRO) was significantly correlated with histologic response alone as well as combined histologic-endoscopic response at W52, but not at W12. The small sample size was likely a limitation. This data will be further studied in Phase 3 trials. Table 1. - Week 104 clinical remission and hospitalization rates by histologic and endoscopic response at Week 12 and Week 52, and by histologic and endoscopic remission at Week 52 Week 104 Without Histologic or Endoscopic Response Histologic Without Endoscopic Response Endoscopic response Without Histologic Histologic and Endoscopic Response P value Without Histologic or Endoscopic Remission Histologic Without Endoscopic Remission Endoscopic Without Histologic Remission Histologic and Endoscopic Remission P value Week 12a Week 12 CDAI remission 60 (12/20) 57.9 (11/19) 50 (2/4) 61.3 (19/31) >0.999 Due to the low number of patients with endoscopic or histologic remission at Week 12, no data are shown in this quadrant PRO remission 55 (11/20) 31.6 (6/19) 50 (2/4) 61.3 (19/31) 0.237 Hospitalizations due to CDb 0 (0/42) 3.9 (1/26) 0 (0/8) 3.2 (1/31) 0.426 Week 52c Week 52c CDAI remission 10.5 (2/19) 60 (6/10) 25.9 (7/27) 56.3 (9/16) 0.006 19.5 (8/41) 72.7 (8/11) 40 (6/15) 40 (2/5) 0.007 PRO remission 10.5 (2/19) 30 (3/10) 11.1 (3/27) 68.8 (11/16) <0.001 12.2 (5/41) 63.6 (7/11) 33.3 (5/15) 40 (2/5) 0.003 Hospitalizations due to CDb 3.9 (1/26) 16.7 (2/12) 0 (0/39) 0 (0/24) 0.021 3.9 (2/52) 5 (1/20) 0 (0/24) 0 (0/5) 0.809 Note: Data displayed as % (n/N). For categorical outcomes, P-values are based on Fisher’s exact test. Histologic response was defined as: a) absence of neutrophils in epithelium, and absence of epithelial damage, erosions and ulceration or b) decrease of either RHI or modified GHAS ≥50% from baseline. Endoscopic response is defined as a 50% reduction from baseline in SES-CD. Histologic remission was defined as absence of mucosal neutrophils, epithelial damage, erosions, and ulceration. Endoscopic remission is defined as SES-CD of < 4 ileal-colonic or < 2 for isolated ileal disease, and no subscore of >1. CDAI remission is defined as CDAI Total Score < 150; PRO remission is defined as (7-day average of SF ≤2.5 and no worse than baseline) + (7-day average of AP≤1 and no worse than baseline). SF captures number of liquid or very soft stools; AP score is classified as 0=none, 1=mild, 2=moderate, 3=severe.AP= abdominal pain; CDAI= Crohn’s Disease Activity Index; GHAS= Global Histologic Disease Activity Score; PRO= patient-reported outcomes; N=number of patients in the histologic/endoscopic response group; n = number of patients in the specified category; RHI= Robarts Histologic Index; SES-CD=Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn’s Disease; SF= stool frequency.aPatients with Active histologic disease at Baseline and with both Endoscopic and Histologic measures at Week 12.bDefined as serious adverse event due to hospitalization. Week 12 columns depict hospitalizations from Weeks 12-52. Week 52 columns depict hospitalizations from Weeks 52-104.cPatients with Active histologic disease at Baseline and with both Endoscopic and Histologic measures at Week 52.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score0.020

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.303
Teacher spread0.289 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
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