Validity of hospital diagnostic codes to identify SARS-CoV-2 infections in reference to polymerase chain reaction results: a descriptive study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: (ICD-10) codes were created for laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections. We assessed the operating characteristics of ICD-10 discharge diagnostic code U07.1 within the General Medicine Inpatient Initiative (GEMINI). METHODS: GEMINI assembles hospitalization data (including administrative ICD-10 discharge diagnostic codes, laboratory results and demographic data) from hospitals in Ontario, Canada. We studied adults (age ≥ 18 yr) admitted during 2020 and tested at least once for SARS-CoV-2 via polymerase chain reaction (PCR) during (or within 48 h before) hospitalization. With PCR results as the reference standard, we calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for ICD-10 code U07.1 hospital discharge diagnostic codes. Analyses were stratified by demographic data, calendar period and timing of the first test (within or after 48 h of hospital admission). RESULTS: In 11 852 hospitalizations with at least 1 SARS-CoV-2 PCR test, 444 (3.7%) were positive. The sensitivity of code U07.1 to identify SARS-CoV-2 infection was 97.8%, specificity was 99.5%, PPV was 88.2% and NPV was 99.9%. Operating characteristics were similar in most stratified analyses, but the specificity and PPV were lower if the first SARS-CoV-2 test was done more than 48 hours after admission. INTERPRETATION: The sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV of code U07.1 were high. This supports using code U07.1 to identify SARS-CoV-2 infection in hospitalization data.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".