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Record W4388146374 · doi:10.24124/c677/20221838

Alberta’s Transition to a Two-Party System: The 2015 and 2019 Elections

2022· article· en· W4388146374 on OpenAlexaffvenueabout
Duane Bratt

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Political Science Review · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCanadian Identity and History
Canadian institutionsMount Royal University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPolitical scienceElectoral systemPrimary electionPublic administrationGovernment (linguistics)HumanitiesGeneral electionDemocracyLawPoliticsArt

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

AbstractAlberta has historically been a one-party dominant system by electing a series of party dynasties from 1905 to 2015. However, Alberta started a transition to a two-party system when the NDP formed government following the 2015 election. This process was solidified with the 2019 election that saw the UCP and NDP as the only parties that won seats and received over 87% combined in the popular vote. The UCP (a consequence of a merger between the PCs and Wildrose Party) won a landslide election in 2019, but, unlike in previous Alberta elections, the former governing party did not disappear. The NDP won all but one seat in Edmonton, won seats in Calgary and Lethbridge, and re-elected Premier Rachel Notley and ten former Cabinet Ministers. Since the 2019 election, measures such as voter turnout, polling, fundraising, and the resilience of the UCP indicate the continuation of the two-party system. RésuméL'Alberta a toujours été un système à parti unique dominant en élisant une série de dynasties de partis de 1905 à 2015. Cependant, l'Alberta a entamé une transition vers un système à deux partis lorsque le NPD a formé le gouvernement après les élections de 2015. Ce processus s'est solidifié avec les élections de 2019 qui ont vu l'UCP et le NPD comme les seuls partis à avoir remporté des sièges et obtenu plus de 87 % combinés lors du vote populaire. L'UCP (conséquence d'une fusion entre les PC et le Wildrose Party) a remporté une élection écrasante en 2019, mais, contrairement aux précédentes élections albertaines, l'ancien parti au pouvoir n'a pas disparu. Le NPD a remporté tous les sièges sauf un à Edmonton, a remporté des sièges à Calgary et à Lethbridge et a réélu la première ministre Rachel Notley et dix anciens ministres du Cabinet. Depuis les élections de 2019, des mesures telles que la participation électorale, les sondages, la collecte de fonds et la résilience de l'UCP indiquent la poursuite du système bipartite.Key Words: Two-party system, One-party dominant system, 2015 Alberta Election, 2019 Alberta electionMots-clés; Système bipartite, Système dominant à parti unique, Élection albertaine 2015, Élection albertaine 2019

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.943
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0060.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.287
Teacher spread0.274 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2022
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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