Magnetosphere–Ionosphere Drivers of Transient‐Large‐Amplitude Geomagnetic Disturbances: Statistical Analysis and Event Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract We present a comprehensive statistical analysis of high‐frequency transient‐large‐amplitude (TLA) magnetic perturbation events that occurred at 12 high‐latitude ground magnetometer stations throughout Solar Cycle 24 from 2009 to 2019. TLA signatures are defined as one or more second‐timescale d B /d t interval with magnitude ≥6 nT/s within an hour event window. This study characterizes high‐frequency TLA events based on their spatial and temporal behavior, relation to ring current activity, auroral substorms, and nighttime geomagnetic disturbance (GMD) events. We show that TLA events occur primarily at night, solely in the high‐latitude region above 60° geomagnetic latitude, and commonly within 30 min of substorm onsets. The largest TLA events occurred more often in the declining phase of the solar cycle when ring current activity was lower and solar wind velocity was higher, suggesting association to high‐speed streams caused by coronal holes and subsequent corotating interaction regions reaching Earth. TLA perturbations often occurred preceding or within the most extreme nighttime GMD events that have 5–10 min timescales, but the TLA intervals were often even more localized than the ∼300 km effective scale size of GMDs. We provide evidence that shows TLA‐related GMD events are associated with dipolarization fronts in the magnetotail and fast flows toward Earth and are closely temporally associated with poleward boundary intensifications (PBIs) and auroral streamers. The highly localized behavior and connection to the most extreme GMD events suggests that TLA intervals are a ground manifestation of features within rapid and complex ionospheric structures that can drive geomagnetically induced currents.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".