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Record W4388717130 · doi:10.3899/jrheum.2023-0499

Statistical and Scientific Considerations Concerning the Interpretation, Replicability, and Transportability of Research Findings

2023· article· en· W4388717130 on OpenAlexafffundvenue
Richard J. Cook, Jerald F. Lawless

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of Rheumatology · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicAdvanced Causal Inference Techniques
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsObservational studyInterpretation (philosophy)PsychologyIntervention (counseling)PopulationAffect (linguistics)Statistical analysisManagement scienceCognitive psychologyComputer scienceStatisticsMedicineMathematicsEnvironmental healthEngineeringPsychiatry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

To advance scientific understanding of disease processes and related intervention effects, study results should be free from bias and replicable. More broadly, investigators seek results that are transportable, that is, applicable to a perceived study population as well as in other environments and populations. We review fundamental statistical issues that arise in the analysis of observational data from disease cohorts and other sources and discuss how these issues affect the transportability and replicability of research results. Much of the literature focuses on estimating average exposure or intervention effects at the population level, but we argue for more nuanced analyses of conditional effects that reflect the complexity of disease processes.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.670
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.902
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.330
Threshold uncertainty score0.407

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.6700.902
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0070.007
Bibliometrics0.0060.011
Science and technology studies0.0040.031
Scholarly communication0.0100.018
Open science0.0090.008
Research integrity0.0110.017
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.249
GPT teacher head0.478
Teacher spread0.229 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
DomainMethods
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations9
Published2023
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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