Imaging-Based Biomarkers Predict Programmed Death-Ligand 1 and Survival Outcomes in Advanced NSCLC Treated With Nivolumab and Pembrolizumab: A Multi-Institutional Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Although the immune checkpoint inhibitors, nivolumab and pembrolizumab, were found to be promising in patients with advanced NSCLC, some of them either do not respond or have recurrence after an initial response. It is still unclear who will benefit from these therapies, and, hence, there is an unmet clinical need to build robust biomarkers. Methods: Patients with advanced NSCLC (N = 323) who were treated with pembrolizumab or nivolumab were retrospectively identified from two institutions. Radiomics features extracted from baseline pretreatment computed tomography scans along with the clinical variables were used to build the predictive models for overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1). To develop the imaging and integrative clinical-imaging predictive models, we used the XGBoost learning algorithm with ReliefF feature selection method and validated them in an independent cohort. The concordance index for OS, PFS, and area under the curve for PD-L1 was used to evaluate model performance. Results: We developed radiomics and the ensemble radiomics-clinical predictive models for OS, PFS, and PD-L1 expression. The concordance indices of the radiomics model were 0.60 and 0.61 for predicting OS and PFS and area under the curve was 0.61 for predicting PD-L1 in the validation cohort, respectively. The combined radiomics-clinical model resulted in higher performance with 0.65, 0.63, and 0.68 to predict OS, PFS, and PD-L1 in the validation cohort, respectively. Conclusions: We found that pretreatment computed tomography imaging along with clinical data can aid as predictive biomarkers for PD-L1 and survival end points. These imaging-driven approaches may prove useful to expand the therapeutic options for nonresponders and improve the selection of patients who would benefit from immune checkpoint inhibitors.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".