1351. Predictors of Loss of Infectivity Among Healthcare Workers with Primary and Recurrent <i>SARS-CoV-2</i> infection: An Observational Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Factors associated with loss of infectivity in healthcare workers (HCWs) with COVID-19 are poorly understood. Understanding predictive factors could help optimize return-to-work criteria and minimize absenteeism. Methods Prospective observational cohort study of HCWs with COVID-19 conducted between Feb 20 2022 and March 6 2023 in 20 institutions in Montreal, Canada, with clinical/laboratory follow-up on Day 5, 7 and 10 of infection. Infectivity was determined by viral culture (Vero E6 cells) on nasopharyngeal swabs. Predictors of loss of infectivity were investigated by univariate and multivariate logistic regression. Results Overall, 121 participants (79.3% female, mean age 40 years) were recruited. Most (n=107, 88.4%) had received ≥3 vaccines and 20 (16.5%) had a history of prior COVID-19. The proportion of HCWs with a positive viral culture decreased from 71.9% on day 5 of infection to 18.2% on day 10. The proportion of HCWs with a positive RT-PCR decreased from 93.3% (112/120) on day 5 (median Ct value, 23.4 [IQR, 20.6-27.9]) to 61.2% (74/120) on day 10 (median Ct value, 32.5 [IQR, 28.5 to undetectable]). Rapid antigen detection test (RADT) positivity decreased from 81.5% on day 5 to 34.2% on day 10. Participants with recurrent COVID-19 had lower likelihood of infectivity at each visit (OR on day 5, 0.14; 95% CI 0.05-0.40; p< 0.001; OR on day 7, 0.04; 95% CI, 0.01-0.33; p=0.003) and none were infective on day 10 (p=0.02). At each visit, recurrent cases had higher median RT-PCR Ct values than primary infections (p< 0.03) and were more likely to have a negative RADT result (p< 0.01). By multivariate analysis, ongoing infectivity was associated with a RT-PCR Ct value < 23 (adjusted OR [aOR] on day 5, 22.75; p< 0.001; aOR on Day 7, 182.30; p< 0.001; and aOR on Day 10; 24.71; p=0.02). A history of previous COVID-19 was associated with a lower probability of infectivity on Day 5 (aOR, 0.005; p=0.003). By contrast, symptom improvement (including fever) and RADT result were not independent predictors of loss of infectivity. Conclusion A lower RT-PCR Ct value is associated with ongoing infectivity, whereas COVID-19 reinfection is a predictor of loss of infectivity. These findings could help optimize return-to-work algorithms. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".