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Record W4389036121 · doi:10.23889/ijpds.v8i1.2176

Generating synthetic data from administrative health records for drug safety and effectiveness studies

2023· article· en· W4389036121 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Olawale F. Ayilara, Robert W. Platt, Matt Dahl, Janie Coulombe, Pablo Gonzalez Ginestet, Dan Château, Lisa M. Lix

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal for Population Data Science · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicAdvanced Causal Inference Techniques
Canadian institutionsUniversité de MontréalManitoba HealthMcGill UniversityUniversity of Manitoba
FundersCanadian Institutes of Health Research
KeywordsReal world dataPopulationMedical prescriptionComputer scienceMedicineData sciencePharmacologyEnvironmental health

Abstract

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Introduction: Administrative health records (AHRs) are used to conduct population-based post-market drug safety and comparative effectiveness studies to inform healthcare decision making. However, the cost of data extraction, and the challenges associated with privacy and securing approvals can make it challenging for researchers to conduct methodological research in a timely manner using real data. Generating synthetic AHRs that reasonably represent the real-world data are beneficial for developing analytic methods and training analysts to rapidly implement study protocols. We generated synthetic AHRs using two methods and compared these synthetic AHRs to real-world AHRs. We described the challenges associated with using synthetic AHRs for real-world study. Methods: The real-world AHRs comprised prescription drug records for individuals with healthcare insurance coverage in the Population Research Data Repository (PRDR) from Manitoba, Canada for the 10-year period from 2008 to 2017. Synthetic data were generated using the Observational Medical Dataset Simulator II (OSIM2) and a modification (ModOSIM). Synthetic and real-world data were described using frequencies and percentages. Agreement of prescription drug use measures in PRDR, OSIM2 and ModOSIM was estimated with the concordance coefficient. Results: The PRDR cohort included 169,586,633 drug records and 1,395 drug types for 1,604,734 individuals. Synthetic data for 1,000,000 individuals were generated using OSIM2 and ModOSIM. Sex and age group distributions were similar in the real-world and synthetic AHRs. However, there were significant differences in the number of drug records and number of unique drugs per person for OSIM2 and ModOSIM when compared with PRDR. For the average number of days of drug use, concordance with the PRDR was 16% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 12%-19%) for OSIM2 and 88% (95% CI: 87%-90%) for ModOSIM. Conclusions: ModOSIM data were more similar to PRDR than OSIM2 data on many measures. Synthetic AHRs consistent with those found in real-world settings can be generated using ModOSIM. Synthetic data will benefit rapid implementation of methodological studies and data analyst training.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.006
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.493
Threshold uncertainty score0.996

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0060.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.003
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.556
GPT teacher head0.597
Teacher spread0.042 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2023
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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