Future cardiometabolic implications of insulin hypersecretion in response to oral glucose: a prospective cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: The cardiometabolic implications of postprandial hyperinsulinemia are unclear with recent studies suggesting both adverse and beneficial associations. We aimed to evaluate the longitudinal cardiometabolic implications of the post-challenge insulin secretory response over 4-years follow-up. Methods: In this prospective cohort study, conducted in Toronto (Ontario, Canada), women comprising the full range of antepartum glucose tolerance were recruited in pregnancy (at the time of glucose tolerance screening, late in the second trimester) to undergo cardiometabolic testing in the years thereafter. Participants underwent oral glucose tolerance tests (OGTT) at 1-year, 3-years, and 5-years postpartum, enabling serial assessment of cardiovascular risk factors, glucose tolerance, insulin sensitivity or resistance (Matsuda index, HOMA-IR), and beta-cell function-via Insulin Secretion-Sensitivity Index-2 (ISSI-2) and insulinogenic index/HOMA-IR (IGI/HOMA-IR). Baseline post-challenge insulinemia was assessed with the corrected insulin response (CIR) at 1-year. Cardiometabolic factors were compared between baseline CIR tertiles. Findings: Between Oct 23, 2003 and March 31, 2014, 306 women were enrolled. In this study population, there was progressive worsening of waist circumference (p = 0.016), HDL (p = 0.018), CRP (p = 0.006), and insulin sensitivity (p < 0.001) from the lowest to middle to highest tertile of CIR at 1-year. However, these adverse features were accompanied by progressively better beta-cell function (both p < 0.001), coupled with lower fasting and 2-h glucose on the OGTT (both p < 0.001). On adjusted longitudinal analyses, higher CIR tertile at 1-year was independently associated with (i) higher ISSI-2 and IGI/HOMA-IR and (ii) lower fasting and 2-h glucose at both 3-years and 5-years (all p < 0.001), but was not associated with BMI, waist, lipids, CRP or insulin sensitivity/resistance. The highest CIR tertile at 1-year predicted lower risk of pre-diabetes or diabetes at both 3-years (adjusted OR = 0.19; 95% CI 0.08-0.45) and 5-years (aOR = 0.18; 0.08-0.39), relative to the lowest tertile. Interpretation: A robust post-challenge insulin secretory response does not indicate adverse cardiometabolic health but, rather, portends favourable metabolic function in the years to come. Future long-term study of the implications of the post-challenge insulinemic response is warranted. Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".