Abstract 14729: Association of Iliac Artery Non-Calcified Plaque Volume and Acute Limb Ischemia: Insights From the VOYAGER PAD Angiographic Core Lab
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction/Background: Acute limb ischemia (ALI) is a severe complication of peripheral artery disease. Lipid lowering and antithrombotic therapies reduce ALI but pathologic studies have described thrombus in distal arteries without plaque, suggesting that artery to artery embolism from proximal (aortic-iliac) athero-thrombosis may be a key driver. Research Questions/Hypothesis: We hypothesized that the burden and character of atherosclerosis in the iliac arteries of patients with PAD would be associated with long term risk of ALI. Methods: VOYAGER PAD enrolled 6,554 patients with PAD and collected 2,200 baseline angiograms in 1,664 patients including 400 CT angiograms enabling plaque characterization. A case-control of 9 who had ALI during follow up and 9 controls were matched on anatomic and patient characteristics, type of index revascularization and disease pattern. Images were read by a blinded, independent imaging core lab. Results/Data: Of the 9 ALI cases, 45% had iliac artery occlusion and 55% had distal artery occlusion. Plaque characteristics were different in cases relative to controls including significantly greater non-calcified plaque volume (OR 2.36, 95% CI 1.05 - 9.38, p=0.03) as well as similar trends for low attenuation plaque (OR 1.65, 95% CI 0.89 - 4.72, p=0.05), and plaque burden (OR 1.16, 95% CI 1.00 - 1.25, p=0.03, Figure). In patients who experienced ALI, there was a trend for greater non-calcified plaque in the limb that experienced the ALI relative to the contra-lateral limb (index 7.2 vs contra-lateral 5.4, p=0.08). Conclusions: In a case-control series, total non-calcified plaque volume and overall plaque burden in the iliac arteries were associated with future ALI over 3 years. Based on the observations in this case-control, we are now analyzing plaque and outcomes in the full cohort. These data are hypothesis generating and suggest that plaque characteristics may be associated with ALI and may serve a surrogate marker of risk.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".