Meaningful Change Thresholds for the Psoriasis Symptoms and Signs Diary
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Change from baseline score on the validated Psoriasis Symptoms and Signs Diary (PSSD) is a widely used, patient-reported end point in clinical trials for psoriasis. Meaningful score change thresholds anchored to patient-reported assessments have not been established in a clinical trial setting. Objective: To evaluate meaningful within-patient score change thresholds for the PSSD using data from the phase 3 Program to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Deucravacitinib, a Selective TYK2 Inhibitor (POETYK), PSO-1 clinical trial, which compared the efficacy and safety of deucravacitinib vs placebo and apremilast among adults with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this predefined analysis using data from the POETYK PSO-1 multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled phase 3 clinical trial, conducted from August 7, 2018, to September 2, 2020, 666 adults with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis completed the PSSD daily throughout the trial. Meaningful change thresholds were derived by anchoring mean PSSD score change from baseline to week 16 to category improvements on the Patient Global Impression of Change (PGI-C) and the Patient Global Impression of Severity (PGI-S). Interventions: Deucravacitinib, 6 mg, once daily; placebo; or apremilast, 30 mg, twice daily. Main Outcome and Measures: The main outcome was score change from baseline to week 16 on the PSSD, anchored to the PGI-C and PGI-S. Results: The trial included 666 patients (mean [SD] age, 46.1 [13.4] years; 453 men [68.0%]). Three thresholds were identified using an analysis set of 609 patients. Score improvement of at least 15 points from baseline reflected meaningful within-patient change anchored to the PGI-C. Score improvements of 25 points were supported by both the PGI-C and the PGI-S, while a 30-point score change identified patients with greater improvements in their psoriasis symptoms and signs. Conclusions and Relevance: This analysis suggests that PSSD score improvements of 15, 25, or 30 points represent increasing improvements in disease burden that are meaningful to patients with psoriasis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.021 | 0.036 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".