Which robust regression technique is appropriate under violated assumptions? A simulation study
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression is widely employed for statistical prediction and theoretical explanation in psychology studies. However, OLS regression has a critical drawback: it becomes less accurate in the presence of outliers and non-random error distribution. Several robust regression methods have been proposed as alternatives. However, each robust regression has its own strengths and limitations. Consequently, researchers are often at a loss as to which robust regression method to use for their studies. This study uses a Monte Carlo experiment to compare different types of robust regression methods with OLS regression based on relative efficiency (RE), bias, root mean squared error (RMSE), Type 1 error, power, coverage probability of the 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and the width of the CIs. The results show that, with sufficient samples per predictor (n = 100), the robust regression methods are as efficient as OLS regression. When errors follow non-normal distributions, i.e., mixed-normal, symmetric and heavy-tailed (SH), asymmetric and relatively light-tailed (AL), asymmetric and heavy-tailed (AH), and heteroscedastic, the robust method (GM-estimation) seems to consistently outperform OLS regression.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it