How Much Should We Trust Non-Experimental Studies of Parental Monitoring?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
What we know about parental monitoring today comes almost entirely from non-experimental studies linking parental monitoring to youth problem behavior. However, non-experimental designs produce accurate findings only when there is no confounding of the association between monitoring and the outcome of interest. Using data on 11,880 youth ages 9-15 years old, we show there is much confounding: 57 of 74 tested potential confounders were significantly associated with both parental monitoring and youth problem behaviors. Together, the potential confounders explained 54-100% of the association between monitoring and problem behavior across our analyses. We conclude that confounding poses a major unaddressed threat to the validity of previous findings on parental monitoring, calling into question both the science and its clinical applications.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.462 | 0.697 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.006 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.031 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.008 | 0.022 |
| Open science | 0.008 | 0.007 |
| Research integrity | 0.007 | 0.014 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".