The risk factors and predictive modeling of mortality in patients with mental disorders combined with severe pneumonia
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: We explored clinical characteristics and risk factors for mortality in patients with mental disorders combined with severe pneumonia and developed predictive models. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the data of 161 patients with mental disorders combined with severe pneumonia in the intensive care unit (ICU) of a psychiatric hospital from May 2020 to February 2023, and divided them into two groups according to whether they died or not, and analyzed their basic characteristics, laboratory results and treatments, etc. We analyzed the risk factors of patients' deaths using logistics regression, established a prediction model, and drew a dynamic nomogram based on the results of the regression analysis. Based on the results of regression analysis, a prediction model was established and a dynamic nomogram was drawn. Results: The non-survivor group and the survivor group of patients with mental disorders combined with severe pneumonia were statistically different in terms of age, type of primary mental illness, whether or not they were intubated, whether or not they had been bedridden for a long period in the past, and the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) scale, procalcitonin (PCT), albumin (ALB), hemoglobin (Hb), etc. Logistics regression analysis revealed the following: MoCA scale (OR = 0.932, 95% CI:0.872-0.997), age (OR = 1.077, 95%CI:1.029-1.128), PCT (OR = 1.078, 95% CI:10.006-10.155), ALB (OR = 0.971, 95%CI:0.893-1.056), Hb (OR = 0.971, 95% CI: 0.942-0.986) were statistically significant. The ROC curve showed that the model predicted patient death with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.827 with a sensitivity of 73.4% and a specificity of 80.4%. Conclusion: Low MoCA score, age, PCT, and low Hb are independent risk factors for death in patients with mental disorders with severe pneumonia, and the prediction model constructed using these factors showed good predictive efficacy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".